High-IQ genes versus low-IQ genes
At a
genetic level, intelligence may reduce because of a reduction in high
intelligence genes in a population and/or as an accumulation of
intelligence-damaging mutations in the population.
Differential
fertility would lead to a decline in intelligence by a reduction in the
proportion of high IQ genes in the population. This happens from a combination
of the relatively less intelligent people having on average the most children,
and the most intelligent people having very low fertility. Since the most
intelligent people are sub-fertile, with less than two offspring per woman, the
genes which have made them the most intelligent will decline in each generation
- first declining as a proportion of the gene pool, and then declining in
absolute prevalence.
For
instance, when there is a woman with ultra-high intelligence who has zero
children (which is the most usual outcome among ultra-intelligent women), then
whatever it was about her genes which made her so intelligent is eliminated
from the gene pool: this is the loss of ‘high-IQ genes’.
But our
suggestion of mutation accumulation involves that the additional mechanism of an
accumulation of what could be termed ‘low-IQ genes’. So, as well as there being
a decline in intelligence from the reduced proportion of high-IQ’ gene, there
is also a reduction in in the proportion of low-IQ genes: an increase in the
proportion of ‘low IQ genes’ in the population.
High
IQ genes have (presumably) been selected for in the past because they increased
intelligence, and thereby (under ancestral - especially medieval - conditions)
increased reproductive success.
But
low IQ genes are not, in general, a product of natural selection: rather they
are spontaneously occurring deleterious mutations, which happen with every
generation due to any cause of genetic damage (e.g. electromagnetic radiation,
chemical damage), or errors in replication.
These
mutations will, if not eliminated, accumulate generation upon generation. Therefore
when they have accumulated, the low-IQ genes were not 'selected for'; rather it
was a matter of lack of selection,
relaxation of natural selection. ‘Low IQ gene’ therefore usually means
something like a genetic mutation that – in potentially a wide range of ways,
by impairing almost any aspect of brain structure, organization or functioning;
actively-damages brain processing speed and efficiency, hence reducing general
intelligence.
In
technical terms, the selection mechanism for eliminating these spontaneously
accumulating low IQ genes is mutation-selection balance. The idea is that mutations
spontaneously occur and need selectively to be eliminated. In other words, by
some means, those organisms which have damaging mutations must fail to
reproduce, so they will not hand-on the mutations to the next generation. The
process needs to be perfect, over the long terms, otherwise the accumulation of
damaging mutations will eventually prevent reproduction and damage survival to cause
extinction (the term for this extinction is mutational meltdown).
The
term mutation-selection balance refers to the fact that the occurrence of
mutations must be balanced by the elimination of mutations: natural selection (including
sexual selection – mate choice) must be powerful enough to sieve-out all the
deleterious mutations. If natural selection is not strong enough to do this,
then mutations will accumulate, brain function will be damaged, and intelligence
will decline.
Each
spontaneous mutation has about a fifty-fifty chance of damaging brain function,
because the brain depends on a very high proportion of genes to develop
normally and make its structural components, its proteins, enzymes, hormones,
neurotransmitters and so on. Thus the brain is a large ‘mutational target’ (as
Geoffrey Miller has termed it) – and will usually show up, in a quantitative
fashion, the amount of mutational damage a person has. In other world, high
intelligence requires ‘good genes’ – where good genes means a genome low in
mutations; conversely a high mutational load will cause low intelligence.
Before
the Industrial Revolution, individuals with a higher mutational load, which
means a higher load of low-IQ genes (and therefore lower intelligence) had
lower-than-average reproductive success due to very high (indeed, probably near
total) childhood mortality rates. But since the child mortality rates fell from
more than half to about one percent in most of Europe, almost all babies that
are born have survived to adulthood, and most of them have reproduced. Therefore,
we must assume that there have by now been several generations – in England at
least eight generations - of mutation accumulation. And we must also assume
that this has had a significant effect in reducing intelligence.
This
produces what is truly a ‘dysgenic’ effect on intelligence, since it is not
evolved, not adaptive, not a new ability – but instead a lowering of intelligence
due to a pathological process; a destruction of adaptive human intelligence
caused by an accumulation of damage.
And
although intelligence decline is a sensitive measure of mutation accumulation –
it is not the only consequence. Many other human adaptations would be destroyed
by mutation accumulation – including evolved human personality types. As well
as pulling down human intelligence; mutation accumulation would be expected to
destroy the Endogenous personality, to impair human creativity – and would be a
further nail in the coffin of genius.
8 comments:
I assume child mortality is a "blunt instrument" in increasing or maintaining intelligence. It kills relatively large proportion of high intelligence people also?
@V - Yes a blunt instrument indeed! Comparative biological evidence suggests that this kind of crude, harsh selection was stronger in humans than in other species - perhaps because the complexity of the human brain and its vulnerability to mutations meant that it was even more important that spontaneous mutations should be filtered-out each generation.
Of course, I am *not* approving of high child mortality rates, the near elimination of which has been perhaps the greatest contribution of modernity to genuine human happiness.
But such massive changes in selection will surely have major consequences - as WD Hamilton pointed out from 60 years ago up to his death in 2000, as almost a lone voice.
I personally do not think think these consequences could realistically be avoided - only somewhat delayed and ameliorated; nor (morally) do I think we should even try to avoid them (which would require something like a massive coercive programme of sterilization/ extermination - which would, no doubt, be administered by the kind of anti-moral Western government we currently suffer - or else deliberately recreating the harshness of 50 percent naturally selected child mortality. Appalling prospects.
Nonetheless, mutation accumulation and the consequent changes in human functioning and behaviour should be acknowledged, studied, measured, and taken into account.
This evoked Tolkien imagery to me. The geniuses leaving permanently (like the Elves) to a better place.
I have a deep ingrained cultural notion that we must find a solution, or that this can't be right, etc. but Christianity tells us the true nature of these events - that time isn't cyclical and the fix is outside this world.
@Andrew - If the above scenario is truly wrong, I would be delighted! But, so far, that is what the evidence seems to say.
"Of course, I am *not* approving of high child mortality rates, the near elimination of which has been perhaps the greatest contribution of modernity to genuine human happiness. "
Dysgenic breeding patterns lead to illnesses, both mentally and physically, that are *decreasing* "happiness" (which is not very important anyway; suffering is central to Christianity). This world is not meant to be a paradise, quite the opposite.
So the above is clearly wrong: not only is happiness of little importance, it is not even true that it increases only because the number of humans increased. If the population is mostly ill, especially mentally, it will be more depressed and suicidal, leading to antinatalist thoughts.
@FvB - "the above is clearly wrong" - not so.
It is just not the whole story.
If we must decide one way or the other (because neutrality is not an option) whether mass death of young children is either a Good or a Bad thing - then obviously it is a Bad thing.
At a micro level we would want it Not to happen, and should strive for it not to happen. Anything else woyld be monstrous!
Yet of course there is a context. 'Strive' in a local and specific way (our own children, for example); and 'strive' up to a point (because there are other priorities in life - for example our spouse and already-born children).
But strategic public policy is a different matter.
In Darwinian theory, evolution occurs via differential reproduction. Those somehow best adapted or most fit on average raise more children to maturity. And to the extent the parents fitness and adaptation are genetically related, the children are generally more fit and better adapted.
So, the question is, Is not the Welfare Queen better adapted to modern society than the high IQ professional woman with no children? The answer is, Yes.
The second question is, Can the Welfare Queen and her children sustain the society that nurtured them? The answer is, No.
There will be no Singularity.
@sykes - Indeed, and there are *many* other examples of the way in which selection is *strongly* favouring those who are parasitic upon modern society - for example violent male criminals average high fertility; the most intelligent/ highly educated women have extremely low average fertility and so forth. The demographic changes in this direction are very rapid indeed; and would take a long time to reverse Even If (which is not the case) there was any attempt to reverse them. The odds are strong that our society will not long survive.
e.g. https://mouseutopia.blogspot.com/
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